I WON THIS ELECTION, BY A LOT!

Was of course Trump’s tweet in characteristic capitals long before he, or anyone else, could possibly know the result. I think we can safely presume that his legal challenges will be found to be without merit, and that any recounts will not alter matters significantly. I thought the survey below interesting (and always having to… Read more

Is No Deal is vastly Under Priced and will the Johnson Government Ditch the Backstop?

Introduction The Johnson premiership has begun. The tortuously negotiated Withdrawal Agreement (WA) is hated by the new government. There are contradictory signals, and it is unsure what changes could be made to make the WA acceptable to HMG. We seem to have moved from a time limit on the Backstop to no Backstop. Even if… Read more

‘Trafficking in unreality’: Trump takes the US further down the road to authoritarianism

Perhaps understandably the UK media’s daily reporting on Donald Trump was dominated yesterday (Wednesday) by the release of a recording of a conversation between Trump and his (ex) personal lawyer, Michael Cohen. The recording provided irrefutable evidence that Trump has been lying since before the Presidential election about what he did or did not know… Read more