Are there are more Cultural Catholics or Protestants in Northern Ireland?

Introduction On my recent blog on the Lord Ashcroft poll I made a statement that there were now almost certainly more Cultural Catholics than Protestants in Northern Ireland. There have been a number of queries, on Twitter, questioning whether this is true. This blog is not a proper statistical study,  a full analysis would use… Read more

Will Virtual Liffey Gunboats Work?

A Historical Prequel A major tipping point in the Turmoil of 1914-1922 as discussed in my recent blog, was the 1916 Easter Rising centred in Dublin. At the time there was a heart and soul struggle between constitutional Nationalists led by John Redmond of the Irish Parliamentary Party, who were still hoping for Home Rule… Read more

Is No Deal is vastly Under Priced and will the Johnson Government Ditch the Backstop?

Introduction The Johnson premiership has begun. The tortuously negotiated Withdrawal Agreement (WA) is hated by the new government. There are contradictory signals, and it is unsure what changes could be made to make the WA acceptable to HMG. We seem to have moved from a time limit on the Backstop to no Backstop. Even if… Read more

The Atlas of Economic Complexity and UK and Irish Exports over the past decade

Introduction Previously the MIT based Observatory of Economic Complexity (OEC) has featured in PP posts, but another  resource (Harvard), the Atlas of Economic Complexity, (AEC) has not. It is a useful trade resource and well worth exploring as it seems to have more visualisation options than the OEC. Much of the underlying data is the… Read more

Westminster: Most Similar Country Ireland? – A new EU Regional Productivity Analysis

Introduction An interesting paper “The big European sort? The diverging fortunes of Europe’s regions” has been published by the Centre for European Reform (CER). Such papers are of great interest at PP. The paper analyses regional productivity. As a single metric productivity is one of the best, but as Charles Adams says, in order to… Read more