European Tactical Voting Advice

In case any readers have not subscribed, the following is the advice contained in an email from ‘Remain Voter‘ for tactical voting in order to ensure the best opportunity for additional winning remain candidates in every UK Euro constituency:

Here is your voting recommendation for Thursday’s EU Election vote. First, 3 things

1 – Get out and vote. Take a friend. Make a facebook event. Turnout is a winner!

2 – Be confident. Less than 500,000 smart Remain votes across the UK could change the face of this election. 6 million of us signed the #RevokeA50 petition. You’ve got this. Use the hashtag #RemainVoter.

3 – Sharing is caring. Share this recommendation for your area on your Facebook and Twitter feed. Include @RemainVoter and we will RT.

It’s that simple. This is how we win.

East Midlands – Vote Green

Current polling predicts: 1 Remainer party will win 1 seat
Smart Voting indicates: A further seat can be gained for a second pro-European party.

The Liberal Democrats look secure in winning a single seat. The next best placed pro-European party to win is the Greens. A Greens gain will displace a pro-Brexit party, and lock them out of the East Midlands region.

Remain Voter only recommend when the number of Remain seats increase and Leave seats decrease.

Eastern England – Vote Green

Current Polling predicts: 2 Remainer seats
Smart Voting indicates: We can gain an additional seat, bringing the total to 3.

The Liberal Democrats look secure in this region, but the Greens are fighting for last seat against the Brexit Party. RemainVoter.com recommends voting Green to secure a Remainer seat in East of England, blocking Farage.

Remain Voter only recommend when the number of Remain seats increase and Leave seats decrease.

London – Vote Change UK

Current Polling predicts: 3 Remainer seats across two parties.
Smart Voting indicates: We can gain a 4th seat for a third pro-European party.

Lib Dem and Green seats look secure, so RemainVoter.com recommends vote Change UK to gain a 4th Remain seat in London. With Labour being non-committal, this means pro-Brexit parties cannot claim the capital.

We only recommend when the number of Remain seats increase and Leave seats decrease.

North East Vote Liberal Democrat

Current Polling predicts 0 Remain seats
Smart Voting indicates: National vote share assist

With only 3 seats, the only way a Remainer can get elected is if we all co-operate. To bring a single seat within reach of a Remain party, RemainVoter.com recommends voting Liberal Democrat, and bringing a friend to the polling station. This will increase the key indicator of national vote share for Remain parties: don’t give up.

We only recommend when the number of Remain seats increase and Leave seats decrease.

North West vote Green

Current Polling predicts: 1 Remainer seat is secure
Smart Voting indicates: 1 more Remain seat can be added

LDs look likely to win a seat. And just a tiny movement from Lab and CUK voters to Green will give Remainers an extra seat. With 3 sitting Lab MEP retaining seats, smart voting will deliver a strong pro-European delegation.

We only recommend when the number of Remain seats increase and Leave seats decrease.

Northern Ireland vote your preference: Alliance; SDLP; Green; Sinn Fein

In order to vote for these Remain parties in Northern Ireland, it is important NOT to add a number against any other party.

Under Single Transferable Vote, if you don’t put a number next to a party, your vote can never be counted for them.
Scotland vote Liberal Democrats to win 2 Remain seats

Current polling predicts: 3 Remain seats
Smart Voting indicates: 5 Remain seats

Scotland is interesting!

Recent polling shows SNP confidently gaining 3 seats with undecided Labour voters blocking a 4th. RemainVoter.com modelling shows LDs have the momentum to win a seat while helping the SNP win the 4th seat. So smart voting can win a seat from a pro-Brexit party while capitalising on Labour’s lack of commitment to their majority Remain membership.

We only recommend when the number of Remain seats increase and Leave seats decrease.

South East vote Change UK

Current Polling predicts: 3 Remainer seats for 2 pro-EU parties
Smart Voting indicates: We can gain a further seat for a third pro-EU party

The Liberal Democrats look secure on 2 seats and the Greens on 1 seat. Neither will get another, so vote Change UK to get a 4th Remainer seat in the Southeast.

We only recommend when the number of Remain seats increase and Leave seats decrease.

South West vote Green

Current Polling predicts: 1 Remainer seat is secure
Smart Voting indicates: We can gain 1 more Remainer MEP

The Liberal Democrat seat is secure, so vote Green to get a second Remain seat in the Southwest. Smart Voting returns a sitting MEP who is highly visible promoting the EU and combatting corruption.

We only recommend when the number of Remain seats increase and Leave seats decrease.
Wales vote Liberal Democrats

Current Polling predicts: 1 Remainer seat is secure
Smart Voting indicates: 1 more Remain seat can be added

Plaid Cymru is set to win one seat in Wales.

With smart voting, the Liberal Democrats can also win a seat without encroaching on Plaid Cyrmu. That gain will mean half the MEPs in Wales are outright Remain supporters.

We only recommend when the number of Remain seats increase and Leave seats decrease.

West Midlands vote Green

Current Polling predicts: 1 Remainer seat is secure
Smart Voting indicates: 1 more Remain seat can be added

It looks like the Liberal Democrats will win one seat. With Remainers voting Green, we can add a second Remain supporting MEP in the West Midlands, with Labour losing out because of its lack of commitment to their majority Remain membership.

We only recommend when the number of Remain seats increase and Leave seats decrease.

Yorkshire and the Humber vote Green

Current Polling predicts: 1 Remainer seat is secure
Smart Voting indicates: 1 more Remain seat can be added

The Liberal Democrats are set to win a seat. If enough people vote Green, they too will win a seat. Winning a Green seat in Yorkshire and the Humber will send a strong message that there is demand for Remain throughout the country.

We only recommend when the number of Remain seats increase and Leave seats decrease.

Comments

  1. Geoff -

    Thanks Peter. I’ve shared this piece

  2. Adrian Kent -

    Virtually all the Labour MEP candidates are strong remainers, but this analysis is promoting ChangeUK ahead of them? Progressive isn’t a word I’d associate with that.

  3. Donald Manchester -

    Ok then, all you pro-EU membership intelligences out there looking in. You people who know that money is a great way to move resources around, to create programmes, offer incentives, and shape society, and hire people to do your will. Paying money to people to achieve your goals is better than the old alternatives of pointing guns at people, or slavery. You very same people who should know that the EU’s biggest two budget items are explicit subsidies to the better off from median taxpayers and which both drive inequality and make us worse off. And that the EU insists on the centralisation of these things.
    But hey ho, if you’ve read me before you know this and shut your eyes, because it’s hard to justify the centralised policy as better than none at all or devolution to members.
    But try engaging with this question: suppose you know who Manfred Weber and Frans Timmermans are, and you have a view on which of the two charmers wanting to be your EU Commissioner should be avoided. And this is to you at any rate the most important issue of these EP elections ( staying in the EU is a non-issue, we’re staying in rightly or wrongly ) Which way should you vote?
    If you think the EU is worth staying in, then you should know this stuff, right?

    1. Peter May -

      You are too advanced.
      We need to try and show we want to stay. As a start.
      Next we need to recognise that only 1% of government spending goes to the EU so we should really concentrate on austerity imposed by our own governemnt on our own people. When our own government has decided to do it….
      In my view then we can discuss this Euro stuff.
      It is intersesting, but should not be a priority. We are, after all, a sovereign state.

      1. Donald Manchester -

        1% of government spending? – try again Peter.
        But you are electing MEPs here who are odds on at the bookies to be taking your coin for 5 more years now. The MEPs you elect will not determine how much the UK spends on welfare, but they may be able to have a say in the next Commission and how much the EU spends transferring money to the wealthy.
        Don’t engage then.

  4. Peter May -

    I’ve tried and 1% is what it is https://youtu.be/_HDFegpX5gI?t=45
    Agree the EU has faults but they are a lot more strict and competent on tax evasion for example, and have the muscle to get the CEO of Google to call on them – he never came to the Commons for example.

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