Conservatives for Irish Unification

Boris Johnson, rather unwisely, I thought, included the expression the “end of the dream” in his resignation letter, (a resignation which, Caroline Lucas suggested, would enable him to spend more time with his photographer).

So, amid all the bluster and buffoonery Boris Johnson has dreams? I suspect they were largely of becoming Prime Minister, but personal ambitions aside, we now know that Brexit will founder on the rocks of Ireland, one DUP rock, which, heaping on the irony, is the one which keeps the Conservative and Unionist Party in power and the other, an Irish rock which is supported by the EU.

Britain has agreed that “The United Kingdom will ensure that no new regulatory barriers develop between Northern Ireland and the rest of the United Kingdom”, so that means that the UK cannot, in any real sense, leave (but on the bright side, nor can it be thrown out – and it is not in the Euro!) From the moment of this agreement the outcome was inevitable without the virtually impossible scenario that the EU now decides to cease its support of the Republic of Ireland as an integral part of the EU and single market.

If the Brexiters had properly thought about it and were not the fantasists they have turned out to be, it is clear that what they should have been doing is campaigning first for Irish unification.

Having achieved that real Brexit could follow.

Whilst Frank Field and Kate Hoey might, just conceivably, have decided to start on that task first, it seems unlikely that the pillars of the Conservative and Unionist Party such as Johnson and Leadsome would be especially happy to rub shoulders, tantalising though the prospect is, with Gerry Adams and Martin McGuinness.

But since that is the logic of the Brexiters’ ‘dream’, perhaps they might now be regretting that they didn’t consult a Constitutional and EU law professor first.

Their planning failures mean that the dreams are giving their fellow citizens nightmares.

 

 

Comments

  1. Sean Danaher -

    Peter
    it is all quite strange from an Irish perspective.

    NI is already treated as part of Ireland for veterinary checks. It has been the case with the bloodstock industry for decades as Irish racehorses sell at a very high premium as they are considered among the best in the world. For cattle also NI was very happy to be considered part of Ireland with BSE (non existent in Ireland) and Foot and Mouth (one very small outbreak rapidly contained) as it never suffered from the export bans that GB had.

    NI like Scotland has its own judiciary and laws; most notably on same sex marriage and abortion. They are keen also to align their corporation tax with that of the Republic.

    The reality is that few extra customs checks in Cairnryan would be easily manageable.
    Most NI people voted against Brexit and the percentage is now bout 69% against. Most NI people are relaxed about some extra checks at the Irish Sea ports. It could lead to a HK like solution and make NI vibrant again. The GDP per capita is 2.5 times higher in the Republic than NI and for every job created in NI, 50 are created in the Republic.

    Within a few years Catholics will outnumber Protestants and a UI is pretty much inevitable – it is just a matter of when.

    The DUP have dramatised a few extra custom checks to an annexation of territory and as SF don’t take their seats Westminster seems to have swallowed this hook, line and sinker.

    Don’t get me wrong, I think Brexit is a dreadful idea and a soft Brexit will be much better for all.

    1. Sean Danaher -

      Note I posted this under Soapbox earlier; new Soapbox post coming tomorrow and I forgot to logout – an admin thing!

  2. Peter May -

    But, I’m amazed, it appears we don’t have any customs at borders any longer! It’s also an ‘admin thing’ Probably to do – well it would be wouldn’t it? with the ‘smaller state’. More detailed post to follow in due course.

  3. Sean Danaher -

    One other interesting aspect is that Constitutional and EU Law Prof Michael Dougan is from West Belfast and almost certainly from the Catholic tradition.

    Kate Hoey is also from NI but very much from the Protestant and Unionist tradition. It is very possible she will be deselected from Vauxhall and rumours she will join the DUP. Of course there are also rumours that Farage will join the DUP.

    One big obstacle to a UI is the “you can’t afford us” argument. It is estimated (Just like in Scotland there are doubts as to the figures) that NI costs the UK exchequer about £11bn net pa in transfers (considerably more than EU membership c 7.1bn net).

  4. Donal O'Danachair -

    “there are also rumours that Farage will join the DUP”!!! Obviously this is the last refuge for British xenophobes — remember Enoch Powell?

    1. Sean Danaher -

      The DUP is up to its neck in the Cambridge Analytica and dark money scandal. One interesting thing was that when Arron Banks walked out of the select committee claimong a prior lunch date https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/arron-banks-andy-wigmore-leave-eu-brexit-video-digital-culture-media-sport-select-committee-a8395411.html the lunch date was actually with the DUP.

      There have been links between Farage and the DUP for years.

      I remember Enoch Powell well, brilliant but very flawed who was MP for South Armagh after he was sacked by Heath and persona non grata in the Tory party.

Comments are closed.