There is an interesting article here by UK in a Changing Europe, examining the population decline in the UK.
Of course those terrible, pesky immigrants have left – in large numbers, maybe even up to a million.
Surely we should be no more than relieved?
Perhaps…And this is not necessarily of consequence – though those that worked in the caring professions will no longer be helping the UK as a nation – though they might well be returning to help their own…
And as a result, Britain might get better at allocating its jobs. And finally get better at planning for and training those jobs which it needs.
But my purpose here is to indicate how we are likely to remain at the bottom of OECD growth for some while yet.
Yes, Covid has been mishandled in a way that defies description and Brexit has been organised similarly – and also, quite remarkably, in the middle of a world pandemic. Only incompetents would ever consider this remotely sensible.
But what is also interesting is that population decline automatically and by definition leads to reduced economic activity so the Tory idea of economic prosperity and growth is likely to plummet whatever they do.
Now I’m not too worried about growth and particularly not of GDP. But Tories definitely are (see their backbench movement to end lockdown in order to get the economy prospering…)
Brexit, it seems to me, will, with a declining population, have given them a passport to a long declining GDP.
This, I suggest, is an advantage that Labour should not pass up…